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The window for diplomatic maneuver is expected to be short-lived, between the US elections and Biden's handover ceremony in January 2025. During this time, the outgoing administration may offer a degree of flexibility towards reconciliation. However, the future geopolitical landscape remains uncertain with the potential political shifts and the emergence of right-wing forces within Europe.

The possibility of Western support for Ukraine is facing a crossroads. The long-held promise of significant financial and military assistance to secure a Ukrainian victory appears far from attainable, forcing them to consider more pragmatic approaches. It seems that Ukraine's "Victory Plan," as outlined by President Zelensky, lays out a strategic roadmap encompassing key elements.

The plan emphasizes security, territorial integrity, and continued Western support for Ukraine's sovereignty. Zelensky's strategy prioritizes securing a lasting peace through tangible action. He has engaged in discussions with US officials regarding the details of this "Victory Plan." This approach aims to navigate the current complex geopolitical landscape and secure a stable future for Ukraine.

Meanwhile, Russia continues to prepare for the long haul. President Putin recently authorized the expansion of the armed forces by 180,000 personnel, increasing their ranks to 150,000 as of December 2024. The Ukrainian government is also preparing for a prolonged conflict with an allocation of over 50 billion hryvnias (approximately $852.5 million) towards national defense and security initiatives.

While diplomatic efforts gain traction, the realities of military preparations are still evident on both sides. This suggests that a long-term solution to the Ukrainian crisis remains elusive. The delicate balance between maintaining a strong military posture and seeking peaceful solutions will continue to be at the forefront of the unfolding narrative.